President Joe Biden has made a landmark decision, authorizing Ukraine to use U.S.-supplied long-range missiles, known as Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS), for long-range strikes within Russian territory. This move represents a significant shift in U.S. policy and comes amid escalating tensions fueled by Russia’s collaboration with North Korea. Initially, these missiles are expected to target Russian and North Korean troops in the Kursk region, where Ukrainian forces face intensified assaults.
Biden’s decision, influenced by Russia’s unexpected deployment of North Korean troops, marks a departure from his previous cautious stance. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has not directly confirmed this new permission but hinted at its importance during his nightly address, emphasizing action over announcements: “The rockets will speak for themselves.” The policy change aims to reinforce Ukraine’s defense capabilities while sending a stark warning to North Korea against further involvement in the conflict.
Rising Stakes in the Kursk Region
The decision comes at a critical juncture, with over 50,000 Russian and North Korean troops launching a major offensive to reclaim Russian territories seized by Ukraine in August. U.S. officials believe that deploying ATACMS, which boast a range of 190 miles, could enable Ukraine to target critical military assets deep within Russia, such as troop concentrations, supply lines, and ammunition depots. Such strikes could blunt the effectiveness of Russia’s aggressive strategy, though experts caution this might not dramatically alter the war’s trajectory.
While some U.S. officials express concerns about potential retaliation from Russian President Vladimir Putin, others argue these fears are exaggerated. Biden’s advisors are divided, with some warning of heightened risks, including possible attacks on U.S. and European facilities, and others advocating for a firmer stance to counter Russia’s escalating aggression.
Implications for International Relations
The decision to authorize long-range strikes reflects broader geopolitical considerations. It not only strengthens Ukraine’s negotiating position by increasing its leverage in future territorial exchanges but also signals to allies and adversaries alike the United States’ commitment to Ukraine’s sovereignty. However, the move comes as President-elect Donald J. Trump prepares to take office, with his administration signaling a more restrained approach to supporting Ukraine.
Internationally, Biden’s decision aligns with growing support from allies such as Britain and France, which have provided Ukraine with limited supplies of Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles. However, these missiles have a shorter range compared to ATACMS. Critics argue that Biden’s delay in granting permission for long-range strikes has disadvantaged Ukraine, while proponents of his cautious approach emphasize its success in avoiding direct Russian escalation.
As Ukraine braces for intensified battles in Kursk, the outcome of this strategic shift remains uncertain. While the U.S. hopes the decision will bolster Ukrainian defenses and deter North Korean involvement, the risks of escalation loom large, underscoring the delicate balance of international diplomacy in the ongoing conflict.